BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Missouri St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 99 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 144.20
Conference: Conference USA Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 117.78 13 73 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Southern Cal -24.39 * -16.36 -35.61
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 149.20 21 20 1A 94 ( 5- 7) Marshall 7.03 -16.36 -6.03
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 146.62 10 28 1A 24 ( 9- 4) SMU 4.44 -0.57 -22.44
4 09/20/2025 Home W 155.29 42 10 1B 54 ( 6- 6) Tennessee-Martin 13.11 18.44 18.89
5 09/27/2025 Home L * * 141.60 22 27 1A 89 ( 9- 4) Western Kentucky -0.57 -5.77 -4.43
6 10/08/2025 Away W * * 138.01 22 20 1A 129 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St -4.17 7.57 6.17
7 10/22/2025 Away W * * 145.12 24 17 1A 126 ( 4- 8) New Mexico St 2.95 3.16 4.05
8 10/29/2025 Home W * * 146.63 28 21 1A 108 ( 7- 6) Florida Int'l 4.45 9.52 2.55
9 11/08/2025 Away W * * 148.68 21 17 1A 102 ( 4- 8) Liberty 6.50 -2.12 -2.50
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 147.05 38 24 1A 130 ( 2-10) UTEP 4.88 10.07 9.12
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 141.64 34 41 1A 90 (10- 4) Kennesaw St -0.53 -6.91 -6.47
12 11/29/2025 Home L * * 135.68 30 42 1A 88 ( 8- 5) Louisiana Tech -6.50 -1.45 -5.50
13 12/18/2025 Neutral L * 134.94 28 34 1A 109 ( 7- 6) Arkansas St -7.23 5.19 1.23
Averages 142.17 25.6 28.8
Best game: 155.29 = 32 point win over Tennessee-Martin
Worst game: 117.78 = 60 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev: 9.32